Avenir Health, founded in 2006, is a global health organization that works to enhance social and economic development by providing tools and technical assistance in policy, planning, resource allocation and evaluation. Our staff is comprised of individuals with the required expertise to develop and implement demographic, epidemiological and costing models centered in the global health arena. Through the functional centers listed below, our staff appreciates the importance of producing and supporting quality products and consistently excels at providing these to our partners, clients and country counterparts.Email Instructions
To contact our team members via e-email: use the person's first initial together with their last name, then add "@avenirhealth.org". As an example, to contact "John Smith" you would use: email@example.com
Adebiyi O. Adesina
Dr. Adebiyi O. Adesina joined Avenir Health in 2010. He has over ten years of policy analysis and health systems management in HIV/AIDS and reproductive health. At Avenir Health, Dr. Adesina is involved in designing and implementing the analysis and synthesis of data addressing issues related to the economics of HIV/AIDS, family planning and maternal and child health, including cost analyses, cost-effectiveness studies, and resource investment in health. His work also includes developing projections of global demand for ARVs and building analytical tools for program managers and policymakers. His field experience include India, Kenya, Mexico, Nicaragua, Tanzania, Uganda and Zambia.
Before joining Avenir Health, he was a visiting scholar at the National Institute of Public Health, Mexico (Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica) where he conducted research on supply chain management and demand forecasting of ARVs. He has also worked in domestic family planning as a regional program manager for Title X, the United States program for low income communities.
Dr. Adesina received a Dr.P.H. and M.P.H. in health policy and management from University of California, Berkeley’s School of Public Health. He also received his Bachelor of Arts degree from UC Berkeley in Peace Studies. He speaks English, Yoruba and Spanish.
Shiva Bagheri joined Avenir Health in 2016 as a Software Developer.
Ms. Bagheri is currently working on software changes for the AIM module and taking responsibility for quality control and the Spectrum/OneHealth Help system. Previously, she worked in both Iran and Canada acquiring experience in software development, documentation, data-mining and database management.
Ms. Bagheri holds a BS in Computer Software Engineering and an MS in Industrial Engineering from the University of Tehran. She expects to receive an MS in Computer Information Technology from Central Connecticut State University in May 2017.
Kristin Bietsch joined Avenir Health in 2017 as a Data Analyst. She works on various family planning and HIV projects.
Prior to joining Avenir Health, she worked as a Research Associate at Population Reference Bureau. Dr. Bietsch has a Ph.D. in Demography from Princeton University, her dissertation work focused on measuring male attitudes and use of family planning across sub-Saharan Africa.
Lori A. Bollinger
Dr. Lori A. Bollinger is currently Vice President at Avenir Health, performing both technical and management tasks on various projects. Her technical expertise includes model development, econometric and statistical analysis, economics of HIV/AIDS, costing for reproductive health, and other resource allocation analyses.
Prior to Avenir Health, she worked at Futures Group, where her work included participating in developing and documenting various models, including a model to examine the costs and benefits of Prevention of Mother-To-Child Transmission interventions (PMTCT); a model to utilize in planning resource allocation and cost-effectiveness for HIV/AIDS (Goals); a cost-benefit model examining the trade-off between syndromic management and rapid testing for STIs; the Resource Needs Model, which calculates the resources needed to respond to the HIV/AIDS epidemic; and the costing component of the Safe Motherhood model, along with other models.
She has also been involved extensively in various studies examining the socioeconomic impact of HIV/AIDS, as well as various efforts to cost out the required response, including the estimates used by UNAIDS for global advocacy efforts. Alongside model development and research into the socioeconomic impact of HIV/AIDS, Dr. Bollinger has field-tested and applied these models in various countries. Her specific field experience includes China, Russia, Mexico, Uganda, Lesotho, Honduras, Guatemala, Dominican Republic, Jamaica and Panama. She manages three model reference groups at Futures Group, including coordinating all internal and external comments on the models, researching new technical additions to the models, and incorporating these changes.
Prior to her work at Futures Group, Dr. Bollinger taught graduate and undergraduate economics and statistics courses at Wesleyan and Yale Universities for several years. Dr. Bollinger has a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania, an M.Sc. in Economics from the University of York, England, and an M.A. in International Studies from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy from Tufts University, Massachusetts.
Nadia Carvalho is a Senior Associate at Avenir Health with close to 15 years of international health technical and programmatic experience in the areas of HIV/AIDS, reproductive and maternal health. Her technical expertise is in the areas of policy development/analysis, evidence-based advocacy, abortion and stigma, and she has field experience in Nepal, China, Indonesia, Vietnam, and Thailand. She holds an MPH degree from George Washington University in Washington DC, and is a DrPH candidate.
Before joining Avenir Health, Nadia was the Associate Director of Field Operations at Venture Strategies Innovations in California where she provided strategic direction, programmatic and technical oversight to the implementation of maternal and reproductive health programs and staff in Rwanda, Zimbabwe, Burundi, Niger, and Botswana. Between 2004-2011 she served as ANE Regional Manager and Senior Policy Advisor with Futures Group in Washington DC where she was responsible for management of the ANE portfolio including HIV/AIDS programs with the ASEAN Secretariat, and in several countries. Prior to that Nadia worked at USAID in Nepal as a Public Health Specialist for HIV/AIDS and Infectious Diseases.
Rudolph Chandler joined Avenir Health in 2011 and works as a Senior Economist in the Health Policy Project managed by the Futures Group. Mr. Chandler has worked over 20 years as a health economist, private sector and organizational development specialist working for John Short Associates, Academy for Educational Development, The Futures Group, Management Sciences for Health and Abt Associates. He has also been an independent consultant for seven years working for AusAID, NZAID, DfID and Global Fund contractors and directly with UNAIDS, WHO, the World Bank and the GAVI Alliance. He has extensive experience in costing and financing interventions and programs of immunization, HIV/AIDS, malaria, tuberculosis, family planning, reproductive health as well as health systems strengthening and medium term expenditure framework (MTEF).
Mr. Chandler also has expertise in providing costing, resource allocation and budgeting expertise to countries in preparation of funding proposals and during final negotiations with global financing mechanisms (Global Fund, the GAVI Alliance). Mr. Chandler has also worked with expenditure tracking tools and national health accounts (NHA). As a private sector specialist, he has assessed private sector participation in the delivery of health products and services and has implemented social marketing projects, provider networks, corporate social responsibility, and public private partnerships schemes. Specifically as a private sector specialist, he has developed business and marketing plans and financial sustainability strategies for products and services of for-profit and not-for-profit clients. As an organizational development consultant, he has provided management consulting services in reviewing and redesigning core functions and structures, staffing organizational charts, job descriptions, operations manuals and procedures for grant management for social marketing organizations, principal recipients and country coordinating mechanisms.
Mr. Chandler’s experience spans over 35 countries in Central America, the Caribbean, Sub Saharan Africa, Northern Africa and Middle East, South East Asia, the South Pacific and Mongolia. Mr. Chandler holds a Masters in Development Economics from Northeastern University. He speaks English, Spanish, French and Haitian Creole.
Willyanne DeCormier Plosky
Willyanne DeCormier Plosky joined Avenir Health in 2007 as a Policy Analyst.
Dr. DeCormier Plosky has over 7 years of experience working in Global Health, most recently with the Health, Nutrition, and Population sector at the World Bank. There, she assisted the Bank’s most Senior Technical Health Specialist in coordinating strategic policy and action upon both topical (malaria, malnutrition, AIDS, etc.) and systemic health issues (governance, hospital reform, financing, human resources, etc.) through lending, analytical work, and partnerships. Ms. Decormier Plosky has also worked with the Management and Leadership program at MSH, the nutrition divisions at Save the Children and UNICEF, and the Center for Interdisciplinary Research on AIDS at Yale University. Her specific field experience includes Zimbabwe, Zambia, Senegal, Bolivia, and El Salvador.
Dr. DeCormier Plosky obtained her MPH from Yale University, and her B.A. from Bowdoin College. She speaks English fluently, and is proficient in Spanish, French, and Italian.
Senior Monitoring and Evaluation Specialist
Priya Emmart is a Senior Monitoring and Evaluation Specialist for Futures Institute in the Centre for Monitoring & Evaluation and Advocacy. She provides technical and management support to the Track20, Maternal and Child Survival Projects, and other reproductive health activities. Her areas of expertise include health policy analysis and capacity development, contraceptive security, maternal health with a broader interest in health equity research.
She has over 15 years of experience in reproductive and maternal health. Before joining Futures Institute, she worked at Johns Hopkins University with the Bill and Melinda Gates Institute. As the Senior M&E Advisor for the Advance Family Planning Project she was responsible for developing the guidance on monitoring and evaluating advocacy interventions and country capacity development. Between 2007 and 2012, she served as a Senior Policy Advisor with Futures Group in Washington D.C. For Futures Group, she was responsible for country programme management and capacity development in the use of policy models. At Crown Agents USA she worked for the Partnership for Supply Chain Management as the project’s M&E Advisor. From 2005-2007, she served as a Global Health Fellow/Population Fellow with John Snow, Inc. for the USAID | DELIVER project in Ethiopia and led their work in contraceptive security. In addition to her global health experience, Ms. Emmart has worked for the Baltimore City Health Commissioner as a Perinatal Epidemiologist and in research and social work with the Emergency Department at Johns Hopkins Hospital.
She holds a MPH degree from the Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore and a MSW from Smith College, in Massachusetts. Her first degree is in economics from Smith College.
Imelda Zosa Feranil
Senior Policy Analyst
Imelda Zosa Feranil (Inday) who joined Avenir Health in September 2010 has 30 years experience in policy analysis in the population, family planning (FP), and maternal and child health (MCH) fields that began with direct involvement in national policy assessments and national/regional population-development policy and planning activities in the Philippines. Under successive USAID global policy projects, she trained and supported government and nongovernment agencies in various countries in FP-MCH policy analysis and planning activities, including the use of projection models developed by Avenir Health. She has also trained and supported civil society organizations and champions from government and nongovernment agencies in data-based advocacy for improved FP, RH and HIV-AIDS policies and programs. Her skills include:
Director of the Health Policy Initiative Costing Task Order
Dr. Steven Forsythe, a senior HIV/AIDS economist, joined Avenir Health in 2007. He has more than 25 years of experience at Avenir Health, the Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública (Mexico), Futures Group, the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine and Family Health International. Dr. Forsythe was the Director of the Health Policy Initiative Costing Task Order, where he managed a large team of economists for the USAID-funded project. Dr. Forsythe has extensive experience working in areas including resource allocation, costing, strategic planning, socioeconomic impact assessments and workplace interventions. Dr. Forsythe has worked in more than 80 different countries and has been published in five books and thirty peer-reviewed journal articles. As the co-founder and President of the International AIDS and Economics Network (IAEN), Dr. Forsythe is widely known in the field of HIV/AIDS and economists. Dr. Forsythe has worked as a consultant for a number of organizations, including USAID, DfID, the World Bank, UNAIDS, WHO and UNFPA.
Dr. Forsythe has a Master’s of Business Administration from the University of Chicago and a Doctorate in health economics from the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine. Dr. Forsythe's Ph.D. was conducted in Kenya, using economic tools to evaluate the costs and benefits of HIV/AIDS interventions in that country.
Senior Analyst and Modeler
Robert Glaubius joined Avenir Health’s Center for Modeling, Planning and Policy Analysis in September 2016. Dr. Glaubius has six years of experience developing and using mathematical HIV epidemic models to assess the population-level impact, cost-effectiveness and drug resistance consequences of public health policy.
Dr. Glaubius received his Ph.D. in Computer Science from Washington University in St. Louis, and completed a postdoctoral research fellowship in the Cleveland Clinic’s Departments of Infectious Disease and Quantitative Health Sciences.
Senior Analyst and Modeler
Chaitra Gopalappa joined Avenir Health in August 2012 as a Senior Analyst and Modeler. Her areas of experience include operations research, probability, and simulation modeling of infectious diseases. Prior to joining Avenir Health she worked as a Steven M. Teutsch Prevention Effectiveness Post-Doctoral Fellow at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in Atlanta, GA. At CDC, Chaitra worked with the Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention developing agent-based simulation models to inform national policies for the prevention of HIV/AIDS, including cost-effectiveness analysis of interventions such as linkage to care, and US HIV-epidemic projections under various scenarios of meeting the U.S. National HIV/AIDS Strategy goals.
Chaitra graduated with a Ph.D. degree in Industrial Engineering from the University of South Florida in 2010, where her Ph.D. dissertation work involved analytical modeling for early diagnosis of cancer.
Saskia has a Master’s of Science of Public Health from the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill in Health Policy and Management. Her previous work experience includes working with the Rwandan Ministry of Health and researching policies related to quality of care for WHO.
Senior Analyst and Modeler
Matthew Hamilton joined Avenir Health in 2014 as a Senior Analyst and Modeler. Matt contributed to the development of the TIME model of tuberculosis in Spectrum and the TB component of the OneHealth Tool, in collaboration with the TB Modelling Group at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. He also contributed to the development of the Spectrum Malaria model, in collaboration with researchers at the Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute and the Malaria Atlas Project at Oxford University.
Matt has eight years of experience in international public health, including field work in more than a dozen countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. He holds an MSc in Biomathematics from North Carolina State University and an MPH from the University of California, Berkeley.
Kendall Hecht joined Avenir Health in 2015 and is currently a Software Developer.
Mr. Hecht has worked in many areas of Spectrum and OneHealth. Currently he is working on development of the new STI module, and has been responsible for creation of tools to assist users and developers alike.
Mr. Hecht holds a B.A. in Computer Science with a minor in Economics from Central Connecticut State University.
Senior Health Policy Advisor
Dr. Katharine Kripke joined Avenir Health in early 2012, following over 20 years of experience working on HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis in various capacities. After earning a Ph.D. from Stanford in Immunology (research on HIV) and completing a 3-year postdoctoral fellowship (research on tuberculosis), Dr. Kripke worked as a AAAS Science and Technology Policy Fellow in the Office of HIV/AIDS at USAID. At USAID, she served as Senior Technical Advisor for HIV Vaccines and Microbicides and also served on the PEPFAR core teams for Kenya and Tanzania. In 2006, she joined the Vaccine Research Program in the Division of AIDS at NIAID, NIH as Assistant Director, focusing on partnerships, communication, and community engagement. In this position, Dr. Kripke had the opportunity to contribute to the task force drafting the prevention section of the US National HIV/AIDS strategy.
At Avenir Health, Dr. Kripke’s main focus is the USAID Health Policy Initiative Costing Task Order, where she is activity manager for a field-funded project in South Africa to assist provincial governments with their strategic planning and costing of their Provincial Strategic Plans for HIV/AIDS, STI and Tuberculosis. On other projects, she is conducting a comparative cost analysis of devices versus surgery for voluntary male medical circumcision, she is modeling the impact and cost of implementing WHO Option B+ for prevention of mother to child transmission of HIV in several African countries, and she is modeling the effects of a large-scale HIV treatment interruption such as might happen in a conflict situation on mortality and transmission. She looks forward to applying her broad experience in HIV strategic planning, community engagement, data analysis, and biomedical HIV research to new HIV program modeling projects.
Dr. Kripke speaks English and is proficient in Spanish. She has extensive work experience in sub-Saharan Africa as well as in Eastern Europe and Eurasia.
Senior Modeller and Advisor, Geneva
Eline Korenromp is a public health and Monitoring & Evaluation expert with over 15 years experience in HIV/AIDS, malaria, tuberculosis, child health and nutrition planning, programming and research (Uganda, Tanzania, Mozambique, Botswana, Nigeria, Indonesia, Cambodia etc.). Her specialties are measurement and modelling of disease burden, impact and cost-effectiveness, program evaluation, health information and surveillance systems.
At Avenir Health, Dr. Korenromp is responsible for developing, agreeing with stakeholders and validating malaria impact and cost-effectiveness models in the Spectrum tool. She also supports strategic planning with national HIV/AIDS and malaria programs, and is an instrumental member of the UNAIDS Estimates Reference Group applying HIV/AIDS surveillance data to inform program planning.
Prior to Avenir Health, Dr. Korenromp worked at the Global Fund to fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, estimating costs, service needs, impact and cost-benefits for the Global Fund’s 5-year strategy and resource mobilization, and developing a framework and tools for improved value for money in grant management. She also supported operations research, and program and impact evaluations in various African and Asian countries.
At the Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition over 2012-2014, Dr. Korenromp managed and guided process and impact evaluations, research and performance monitoring in public-private nutrition programs targeting mothers and children, in Indonesia, Bangladesh and Nigeria amongst others. She also developed methods for portfolio-level performance and impact monitoring including a DALY-based cost-effectiveness model.
Over 2001-2005, at the World Health Organization, Dr. Korenromp innovated national malaria burden and trend estimations for Roll Back Malaria and Millennium Development Goals tracking. Her team launched the Roll Back Malaria M&E Reference Group, and wrote the first World Malaria Report.
Dr. Korenromp is an expert in applying strategic information and M&E results for policy and strategy at program and international levels, influencing government officials, policy makers, donors and scientific experts, and leading stakeholder groups to agree and harmonize technical approaches. She is a well-known scientific writer and publisher, and holds a Ph.D. in Public Health and Epidemiology from Erasmus University Rotterdam, and a MSc. in Medical Biology from Utrecht University in the Netherlands.
James E. Rosen
James E. Rosen joined Avenir Health in 2011. An economist, he has worked for three decades in the field of global health. His current focus with Avenir Health is as Technical Advisor on the USAID | DELIVER PROJECT, where he leads the project’s work on supply chain costing, financing, and performance-based incentives. His other work at Avenir Health has included costing of family planning programs and of adolescent HIV interventions.
Before joining Avenir Health, Mr. Rosen was an independent consultant for 11 years, with clients that included the World Health Organization, World Bank, UNFPA, Center for Global Development, IPPF, European Union, Gates Foundation, Kaiser Family Foundation, and several USAID cooperating agencies. His work encompassed modeling the impact of HIV on maternal death, analyzing user fee systems for sexual and reproductive health care, mainstreaming youth issues in poverty reduction strategies, measuring the cost-effectiveness of models of primary health care, and searching for sensible and cost-effective linkages between HIV and other reproductive health programs.
He held previous positions at Population Action International, Development Associates, Inc., the Population Council, and the World Bank.
Mr. Rosen has worked in over 20 developing countries, providing technical assistance to health programs and policy makers and carrying out research and program evaluation.
He lived and worked for three years in Peru.
Mr. Rosen has an M.A. in Economics from the University of Wisconsin and a B.A. in Economics from the University of Illinois.
He speaks English and Spanish.
Senior Research Associate
Kerry MacQuarrie joined Avenir Health in 2012 as a Senior Research Associate with The DHS Program. Here, she conducts analytical studies on demographic and health issues and provides training and technical assistance in data analysis to DHS Fellows and collaborators. She earned her Ph.D. at the University of Washington, where she was trained as a social demographer. Prior to working with The DHS Program, she has worked with the International Center for Research on Women, the World Wildlife Fund, Save the Children, and CEDPA conducting research and program evaluations related to gender and health, adolescent reproductive health, women’s empowerment, domestic violence, abortion and stigma related to HIV/AIDS, research interests she continues to pursue at The DHS Program.
Strategic Information Specialist
Bob Magnani has over 30 years’ experience in the international health & development arena, during which time he has worked in 34 countries around the globe. His career spans 11 years working in government, 13 years in academia and 10 years in the private/NGO sector. He is a former Country Director/Chief of Party for Family Health International in Indonesia and Vice President for Technical Support in FHI’s Institute for HIV/AIDS based in Arlington, Virginia, USA. He spent 12 years on the faculty of the Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, the last three as Chair of the Department of International Health and Development.
His areas of professional competence include family planning/reproductive health (FP/RH); adolescent reproductive health; HIV and AIDS; monitoring and evaluation (M&E) of public health programs; operations and health systems research; disease surveillance; and survey measurement (including sampling). He also has programmatic experience and professional publications in Maternal and Child Health and Nutrition. He has over 60 professional publications to his credit and has made over 100 presentations at national and international conferences.
He is also an accomplished trainer having led numerous courses and trainings over the years in both academic and field settings, and has authored/co-authored technical manuals on M&E, surveillance and sampling. He is currently based in Jakarta, Indonesia. He holds a Ph.D. in Demography from Brown University with specialization in population, health & development.
Senior Statistician and Modeler
Guy Mahiane has recently joined the Avenir Health in the Center for Modeling and Analysis. Dr. Mahiane will be primarily working on various HIV and malaria modeling tasks.
Dr. Mahiane has a Ph.D. in Biostatistics from the Université Paris-Sud and recently finished a post-doctoral fellowship at the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health where he worked on mathematical modeling of HIV. He was also a post-doctoral fellow at the South Africa Centre for Epidemiological Modeling and Analysis in South Africa.
Lindsay Mallick joined Avenir Health in 2014 as a Research Associate for the DHS Program. She fulfills both lead and support roles in preparing and analyzing data, conducting literature reviews, and report writing for DHS further analysis papers.
Ms. Mallick has over 7 years of combined experience and education in international and domestic public health. Prior to joining Futures, Ms. Mallick served as Community Health Volunteer for the Peace Corps in Mauritania, West Africa. She later gained applied health research experience while working as an epidemiologist for the US Military, where she investigated, monitored, and analyzed a variety public health issues, ranging from infectious disease to behavioral health.
Ms. Mallick has a Masters of Public Health, with a focus in International Health and Development, from Tulane University. She is proficient in French.
Director of Software Development
Robert McKinnon, a founding partner of Avenir Health, is responsible for leading the software development efforts of the company. This includes the management of both internal and external software developers along with evaluating and applying technology to improve our tools and services.
Mr. McKinnon has over 22 years of experience designing, developing and supporting computer based analytical models. Modeling topics include Demographic, Family Planning, HIV/AIDS, Maternal and Child Health, Intervention Costing and other social and economic issues focused in the developing world.
Mr. McKinnon has directed the software implementation of the Spectrum modeling system since inception which currently spans over 18 years of development and practice. In addition to Spectrum and its interrelated modules, Mr. McKinnon also leads development efforts of the OneHealth Tool and advocacy tools such as Stat-Shot and DataLook. Separate from PC based applications, Mr. McKinnon has been integral in the development of the Policy Tools web site and associated mobile applications.
Prior to Avenir Health, he worked at Futures Group and held the dual role as Manager of Information Technology and Software Development. Here he was responsible for the entire organization’s information systems. He provided IT solutions and support to meet the technology needs and requirements of the company along with managerial responsibility of IT and software development staff.
Mr. McKinnon holds an M.S. in Computer Information Technology and a B.S. in Computer Science from Central Connecticut State University.
Director of Finance and Accounting
Linda Mielauskas joined Avenir Health in 2007 with over 30 years’ experience in financial management, contracts, human resources, benefit administration and administrative support.
Prior to Avenir Health Ms. Mielauskas worked at The Futures Group International and held the position of Chief Financial Officer. She was responsible for all financial activities at the TFG Holding level, including preparation of consolidated financial and operational reports as well as summaries and forecasts for future business growth and general corporate economic outlook. As a member of the executive leadership team, she participated in strategic planning and problem solving for the corporation.
Ms. Mielauskas has a Bachelor of Science in public accounting from St. Joseph’s College and a Masters of Business Administration in finance from the University of Connecticut. Ms. Mielauskas is also a CPA and notary public.
Thomas Podkowiak joined Avenir Health in 2011 and is currently a Software Developer.
Mr. Podkowiak's responsibilities include a wide range of software applications. He is responsible for maintaining the Infrastructure, Health Financing, Financial Space, and Governance modules of the OneHealth Tool. In addition, he is charged with the development of the desktop applications Datalook and Stat-Shot. He is also involved with our web facing applications hosted on our Policy Tools site. Mr. Podkowiak works critically on quality control and eagerly tracks down the source of reported issues in our various applications.
Mr. Podkowiak holds a B.S. in Computer Science from Central Connecticut State University.
Deputy Director for the Center of Modeling, Planning and Policy Analysis
Dr. Carel Pretorius joined Avenir Health in 2010 a Senior Analyst and Modeler. He leads or contributes to the development and implementation of several models in Spectrum.
Over the last few years Dr. Pretorius steered the Spectrum implementation of the TB Impact Model and Estimates (TIME) and applied it in various studies and projects with TB global partners, including WHO GTB, The Global Fund and the Stop TB partnership.
Dr. Pretorius leads the Spectrum development of several models for non-communicable diseases including models for mental, neurological and substance abuse, models for cancer and other physical conditions such as CVD and lung conditions.
Dr. Pretorius helps to oversee the implementation of all new disease models in Spectrum, including models for malaria, STIs and transmission models for HIV.
Before working at Avenir Dr. Pretorius completed his Ph.D. studies at the University of Stellenbosch and worked as postdoctoral fellow at the South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA). Prior to working at SACEMA and since 1998, Dr. Pretorius worked in other fields of quantitative analysis.
Meghan Reidy is a Senior Associate with Avenir Health. Since joining Avenir in late 2016, among other things she conducts analysis to support the SHOPS Plus project and provides technical assistance on the OneHealth Tool, LiST, and other projection software. She has over 10 years of experience in malaria, child survival, and reproductive health.
Prior to joining Avenir, she was a Senior Technical Advisor with Population Services International (PSI), where most recently she was responsible for PSI’s portfolio of health impact models (including family planning, HIV, TB, malaria, child survival, and WASH), global-level monitoring of program performance, and analysis to inform strategic policy and programmatic decision making. Previously, she has worked as an independent consultant in access to essential medicines and health policy, with clients such as DFID and the Gates Foundation, and as a policy analyst with the Global Health Group at UCSF.
Ms. Reidy holds masters degrees in Population and International Health from the Harvard School of Public Health and Forensic Archaeological Sciences from University College London.
Mark Roman joined Avenir Health in 2008 and is currently a Software Developer.
Mr. Roman has worked within many areas of Spectrum and OneHealth. Currently, his primary responsibilities are the development and maintenance of the OneHealth Configuration, Human Resources, Health Information Systems, Intervention Costing, Bottleneck Analysis, and Budget Mapping modules.
Mr. Roman holds a B.A. in Mathematical Sciences from Western New England University.
Deputy Director for the Center of Modeling, Planning and Policy Analysis
Rachel Sanders is a Senior Policy Analyst with Avenir Health. She is responsible for updating the HIV component of the OneHealth Tool, as well as providing technical assistance on the OneHealth Tool, LiST, and other projection software. Her field experience includes work in the Dominican Republic, Ghana, Kenya, Lesotho, South Africa, Central America, and Nepal and she holds a Masters in Public Policy from Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government.
Prior to Avenir Health, she worked at Futures Group, where she was most recently the Deputy Director for the Health Policy Initiative Costing Task Order, a project focused on costing and modeling for HIV programs. Her responsibilities in this post included staff supervision, quality assurance of activities, and managerial oversight for operations. During her time at Futures Group she also completed cost analyses of HIV and AIDS treatment programs, estimates of resources required to carry out HIV programs throughout Central America, and analysis of resource allocation strategies. Before joining Futures Group, Ms. Sanders worked in the Evaluation Unit of International Planned Parenthood’s Western Hemisphere Region office, and served as a Peace Corps volunteer in the Dominican Republic.
Jill Schein joined Avenir Health in 2010 and is currently a Software Developer.
Ms. Schein is primarily responsible for the programming and maintenance of the DemProj, AIM, LiST, Goals and Resource Needs modules of Spectrum as well as the associated tools including: Extract, Aggregate, Uncertainty Analysis, Scenario Generator, Scheduler, Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, Aggregate Uncertainty and Goals Express. She is also responsible for the design, implementation and maintenance of the Spectrum Help system and the Spectrum and OneHealth Tool Support System.
Ms. Schein holds a B.S. in Computer Information Systems from DeVry University, a B.A. in Mathematics from Drew University and an M.S. in Industrial Engineering from Lehigh University.
Jared Schmidt joined Avenir Health in 2015 and is currently a Software Developer.
Mr. Schmidt has worked with in many areas of Spectrum and OneHealth. His primary responsibilities include internal memory management, file reading/writing capabilities and general user interface modification. Mr. Schmidt has also been instrumental with improvements to several tools including Missed Opportunities, Equity, MBB to LiST Transfer, and Extract.
Mr. Schmidt will hold a B.A. in Computer Sciences with a minor in Music from Central Connecticut State University as of Spring 2017.
Flor Silvestre joined Avenir Health in 2015 as an Accounting assistant. Prior to working at Avenir Health she held the position of Payroll Administrator at another company.
Ms. Silvestre has an Associate degree of Science in Accounting and Business Administration. She is a certified bookkeeper and a notary public. Ms. Silvestre is fluent in Spanish.
Director for the Center of M&E and Advocacy
Dr. Sonneveldt joined Avenir Health in 2009. She currently leads activities that focus on monitoring of health programs, increased data utilization at the national and global levels, and developing and applying innovative tools and models that support data based decision-making. She has extensive experience supporting governments to develop, implement, and monitor health policies, including facilitation of goal setting and priority identification workshops that have resulted in policy and priority changes. She has performed district and national level applications of computer models focusing on family planning, safe motherhood, postabortion care, and the impact of rapid population growth on development. She has worked implementing health programs in Africa and the Balkans and served as a technical advisor for policy, advocacy, and research activities in Africa, the Caribbean, Southern Asia, and Eastern Europe. Her primary areas of expertise are family planning and maternal health.
Previously, Dr. Sonneveldt worked for The Futures Group where she managed multiple country level activities including quantitative and qualitative research and policy analysis and development. She also provided ongoing maternal health technical support to various country programs. During this time she also performed district and national 22level applications of computer models focusing on family planning, safe motherhood, postabortion care, and the impact of rapid population growth on development.
Dr. Sonneveldt has also lived and worked in developing countries and built expertise in developing, monitoring, and evaluating community based health programs; participatory methodologies related to behavior change; impact assessments and quality of service evaluations; and creating linkages between communities and health facilities.
Dr. Sonneveldt has a Ph.D. in Public Health from Tulane University. She is proficient in French.
Senior Analyst and Modeler
Dr. Yu Teng joined Avenir Health in 2014 as a Senior Analyst and Modeler. He primarily works on applying the AIM and Goals models to study the cost and impact of HIV interventions in different countries and geographic regions.
Dr. Teng earned his Ph.D. in Biomedical Engineering from Purdue University. Prior to joining Avenir Health, he worked as a Prevention Effectiveness post-doctoral fellow at Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). At CDC, he worked with the Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention on developing simulation models for HIV transmission in the U.S.
Jessica Williamson joined Avenir Health in 2016 as a Data Analyst on the Track20 Project. She currently provides technical support and analysis for the Track20 project. Previously, Ms. Williamson worked as an independent consultant conducting data analysis and developing tools for monitoring and reporting, primarily in family planning and reproductive health. Prior to that, Ms. Williamson worked as part of the Impact Analysis team at Marie Stopes International, where she supported internal and external reporting and the use of routine data for decision-making. Ms. Williamson has a Masters of Public Health from George Washington University.
Senior Research Associate
Dr. Sarah Staveteig joined Avenir Health as a Senior Research Associate with the DHS Program in 2011. She designs and conducts studies using DHS data and has co-directed the DHS Fellows program since 2012. Her areas of expertise include family planning, reproductive health, HIV, and economic demography, notably the DHS Wealth Index. She has over fifteen years of experience in demographic and statistical analysis and mixed-methods research. Before joining Avenir Health, she was a Research Associate at the Urban Institute, a researcher at the Berkeley Human Rights Center, and a Peccei Scholar at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria.
Dr. Staveteig received an M.A. in Demography, an M.A. in Sociology, and a Ph.D. in Demography and Sociology from the University of California, Berkeley. She has more than three years of direct work experience in sub-Saharan Africa, Eastern Europe, and South Asia. She speaks English fluently and is proficient in French.
Senior Economist and Managing Director Southern Africa office
Peter Stegman joined Avenir Health in 2011 as Senior Economist and Managing Director of the organization’s Southern Africa office based in Gaborone, Botswana. Prior to this, Mr. Stegman spent eight years seconded to the National AIDS Coordinating Agency (NACA) of the Government of Botswana as their Strategic Planning and Policy Advisor, a position he held through the African Comprehensive HIV/AIDS Partnerships (ACHAP), a public-private partnership between the Government of Botswana, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Merck Company Foundation.
Mr. Stegman has also worked extensively as a consultant for a number of organizations including USAID, UNAIDS, UNDP, DfID, GTZ and Care International supporting governments and organizations in the areas of strategic planning and budgeting, public policy review and development, capacity enhancement, HIV and AIDS mainstreaming, and local level support to program planning, implementation, monitoring and evaluation. Mr. Stegman has experience across Sub-Saharan Africa including Botswana, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, and Uganda.
A long-term resident of Africa, Mr. Stegman has spent the last 18 years living and working on the continent. He holds an M.A. in International Affairs/African Studies from the Center for International Studies at Ohio University, and a B.A. in International Affairs from the University of Colorado at Boulder.
John Stover is Vice President and founder of Avenir Health and served as Avenir Health’s first president. Previously John was a Vice President at Futures Group in the Center for Economics and Modeling. He has over 30 years of experience in assessing population and health issues in developing countries and in providing technical assistance in policy analysis and awareness-raising through computer modeling.
Mr. Stover has worked on a variety of policy and service projects including POLICY, RAPID (Resources for the Awareness of Population Impacts on Development), OPTIONS (for Population Policy), SOMARC (Social Marketing for Change), the EVALUATION (of Family Planning Impact) Project, and PASCA (Central America HIV/AIDS Prevention) Project. He has worked in diverse geographic regions including sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa and the Middle East, Asia and Latin America. He has developed several important population and health policy tools including Spectrum, a modular software package that is used to examine the consequences of current trends and future interventions in reproductive health and AIDS.
Mr. Stover has published and presented numerous articles on population and family planning, AIDS modeling, intervention analysis and demographic impact. He has conducted research on the policy process and is co-author of The Art of Policy Formulation: Experiences from Africa in Developing National HIV/AIDS Policies. He has developed a number of evaluation tools such as the Policy Environment Score, the AIDS Program Effort Index, and the Survey of Coverage of Essential HIV/AIDS Services.
Mr. Stover has remarkable experience in presenting population, health and development information to high-level policy makers, including to a number of national leaders. He has provided assistance to programs in numerous countries, where policy presentation teams have used computer-based presentations successfully to reach thousands of individuals from national and local governments, NGOs and other community leaders.
Mr. Stover earned a master’s degree in long-range planning from Campus Free College, and a B.S. in chemistry at the Case Institute of Technology of Case Western Reserve University.
Senior Health Specialist
Dr. Michel Tchuenche has been a Professor of Mathematics at the University of Dar es Salaam with a short stint at the University of Texas at Arlington and Lappeenranta University of Technology, Finland. He has over 20 years of experience in mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Dr. Michel joined Avenir Health in 2014 to work on the USAID Health Policy Project and the PEPFAR Expenditure Analysis. He is the Principal Investigator on two field funded projects to assist - Côte d’Ivoire in the costing of their pediatric and adult ART and - South Africa on the costing of VMMC.
Prior to joining Avenir Health, Michel was a Health Economist at the CDC, Atlanta where he worked on a variety of global health projects. He has extensive work experience in sub-Saharan Africa and the Caribbean.
Dr. Michel speaks English, French and some Spanish. He has a Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics from the University of Ibadan.
Elric Werst joined Avenir Health in 2010 and is a Software Developer.
Mr. Werst's responsibilities reside over a wide range of Spectrum modules. These include Family Planning, Logistics, Tuberculosis, Programme Costing, and Programme Management. Outside of the Spectrum modules, he has undertaken the Workplace Policy Builder application.
Mr. Werst holds a B.S. Computer Science from Central Connecticut State University.
Michelle Weinberger is a Senior Associate with Avenir Health. She provides technical support to Track20, conducts analysis and develops models related to reproductive health. She has extensive experience developing quantitative models and analysis to inform strategic policy and programmatic decision making.
Ms. Weinberger demographer with a focus on family planning and reproductive health. Before joining Avenir Health, she headed the Impact Analysis team at Marie Stopes International, where she oversaw the development of impact models and metrics. This included developing that Impact 2 model, which estimates the health impact of reproductive health service provision. Prior to that, she worked for Family Health International in Tanzania on reproductive health and HIV prevention programs.
Ms. Weinberger has an MSc in Population and Development from the London School of Economics (LSE).
Dr. William Winfrey is President at Avenir Health. Dr. Winfrey joined the Avenir Health in 2007 after almost thirteen years at the Futures Group. Dr. Winfrey is the technical lead for developing the Lives Saved Tool (LiST) and the OneHealth tool. He is also the corporate manager for subcontracts with the DHS project and the DELIVER project, as well as the director of business development efforts at the Avenir Health.
At the Futures Group, Dr. Winfrey coordinated working groups for poverty in both the Health Policy Initiative Task Order I and the Measure Evaluation Project. Previous to this he was the director of the Finance and Planning element in the POLICY II Project. Dr. Winfrey was also the director of research within the Center for Private Sector and Communications at the Futures Group.
Dr. Winfrey was one of the leading forces in adapting market segmentation techniques to define the role of the public and private sectors for meeting reproductive health needs of a country’s population. He is an expert in estimating the costs and expenditures associated with delivering health services. He was instrumental in developing WHO’s estimate of global expenditures on TB diagnostics. He has developed country level estimates of family planning services, delivery of services for orphans and vulnerable children and a global estimate of the costs associated with unsafe abortion.
Currently Dr. Winfrey focuses his efforts on the development of the LiST tool and the OneHealth tool. The LiST tool helps health policy and programme managers in developing countries assess the mortality impact of scaling up maternal and child health interventions. The OneHealth tool helps developing country health planners create costed medium term plans that include all costs associated with scale up as well as the mortality impact that would ensue as a result.
Dr. Winfrey is also a health researcher. Among his skills are analysis of survey data sets, estimating costs of health services and development of tools to inform planning of family planning and health efforts. Most recently he has calculated age disaggregated maternal mortality rates, costed family planning methods in Pakistan and Rwanda and designed tools to help local NGOs understand the cost structure of their services.
Dr. Winfrey has bachelor’s degrees in Chemical Engineering and Petroleum Engineering. Following two years of Peace Corps experience in Mali, Dr. Winfrey earned a doctorate in economics from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.